NFC Playoff Prediction (Week 16)

With there only 2 weeks left in the NFL regular season, there is still an unstable NFC playoff situation.


There are nine teams (Falcons, 49ers, Packers, Cowboys, Washington, Chicago, Minnesota, Giants and Seahawks), and only six playoff spots, so who receives these final spots? Read more for my seeding predictions…

Playoff Odd percentages are from <;a href=" “>;

#1 Seed: Atlanta Falcons
With the Falcons playing the 4-10 Lions and 6-8 Buccaneers, the odds of the Falcons retaining the #1 seed and a first round bye week are quite high.
(98% chance of being #1 seed, 100% chance of making playoffs)

#2 Seed: Green Bay Packers
The Packers play the 5-9 Titans and 8-6 Vikings in their last two games. These are games that the Packers can win and with Clay Matthews back, their defense is back in order.
(29% of being #2 seed, 68% chance of being #3 seed, 100% chance of making playoffs)

#3 Seed: San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are currently only a half a game above the Packers for the #2 seed due to their tie with the Rams. The 49ers have a tough game with the Seahawks who are looking for a playoff berth with a win. The 49ers are a great team, but can easily lose a game and lose the #2 seed.
(26% chance of being #3 seed, 67% chance of being #2 seed, 100% chance of making playoffs)

#4 Seed: Dallas Cowboys
I believe the Dallas Cowboys have the greatest possibility of winning the NFC East. They play the Saints this week and at 6-8 who have proven to be the best, and worst team in the NFL. But the more important game is during week 17 when they play the Redskins, which may decide the NFC East division champs.Tony Romo is seeming to play better football each week, and RGIII’s mobility may be affected by his knee injury. I believe the Cowboys win their last two games and the #4 seed. (38% chance of being #4 seed, 3% chance of being #6 seed, 41% chance of making playoffs.)

#5 Seed: Seattle Seahawks
If they Seahawks win against the 49ers this week, they will clinch a playoff berth. They then play the 6-7-1 Rams and maintain the #5 seed. They have scored 50 and 58 points in their previous 2 games and are the hottest offense in the league. However, a loss to the 49ers could drastically change this NFC playoff prediction.
(70% chance of being #5 seed, 17% chance of being #6 seed, 93% chance of making playoffs)

#6 Seed: Chicago Bears
If the Cowboys win the NFC East, than that means that the Giants and Redskins have lost a game. The Bears have an easy finishing two games against the Lions and Cardinals who currently only have 9 combined wins. The Bears have the greatest odds of grabbing the #6 seed if the Redskins and Giants lose a game. 32% chance of being #6 seed, 5% chance of being the #5 seed, 36% chance of making playoffs

Non-Seeding Teams

New York Giants
The Giants have a difficult task ahead of them when they play the 9-5 Ravens who play fierce and the 4-10 eagles who seem to always play their best against the Giants. If it were not for the difficult schedule, the Giants would most likely be in the playoffs. (46% chance of making playoffs)

Washington Redskins
If the Dallas Cowboys win their game against the Redskins, and if the Bears win both of their last games, that leaves the Redskins out of the playoffs. The injury to RGIII may effect his lethal mobility and restrict his game, which many opponents will take advantage of.
(68% chance of making playoffs)

Minnesota Vikings
Although the Vikings started out red hot, and Adrian Peterson is playing the running back position almost to perfection, they will not make the playoffs. Even if they win both of their games, they will need a lose from the Bears, Redskins, Giants, and Cowboys. It doesn’t help that the Vikings finish off their season playing the Texans and Packers. (15% chance of making playoffs.)

Important Games To Watch

12/23 (3:25pm) New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens
If the Giants lose this game, they will practically be eliminated from the playoffs and make it a battle between the Redskins and Cowboys for the NFC East. The previous Super Bowl Champs will have to win this game for a shot to repeat.

12/23 (7:20pm) San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco are two of the best teams in the league right now. The Seahawks are the best home team, with a Seattle win giving them a playoff spot. This game also effects whether the 49ers remain the #1 or #2 seed.

12/30 (12:00pm) Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
This game will most likely decide the NFC East Division spot, and maybe leaves the loser out of the playoffs. This is a must win game for both teams if the both win games this weekend.

These are my predictions and many may have different thoughts. Comment on your NFC seeding predictions!


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